the autumn meet winds down tomorrow and the so cal circuit takes the rare 5 day break before santa anita starts the day after christmas. with the whole turf course debacle of late, i'm going to handicap the card assuming the races will actually be run on turf (it hasn't rained in over a week and is a balmy 70 degrees today). let's hope the course and jockeys cooperate.
r1: on location. bet this one last time first off the shelf for kid mandella. this one did the old speed and fade and should move forward today. the jones firster, fresh squeezed is also intriguing as he's been lethal teaming up with david cohen.
r2: absolute glory. slow start cost him all chance last time and while i've never heard of the new trainer, blinks and lasix makes this one very interesting.
r6: melanyhasthepapers. diamond fury has a lot to do to make up for the $2.7M purchase price and he's the one who scares me most in here. 'papers is a closer, so the rail won't be too big of a hinderance for him and he should get a decent set up in here with some cheap speed types signed up.
r7: all the boys. most likely winner for me today as this one has a ton of back class and should show his best off the shelf for aguirre. if he's in one piece, he'll destroy this field.
r8: sharp lisa. while i rated the alcibiades stakes at keeneland extremely LOW with about half the field within 2 lengths at the wire, 'list acquited herself quite nicely in the BC in October and she's proven around two turns. don't know where the money will come in on this race, but at 3/1 or better, she's my play.
r9: asesina. hoffmans not known to have them ready to roll first time out, but this field is rather sad, and this filly is actually bred quite well to be debuting for 32k.
good luck, closing day tomorrow- see you at santa anita.
r1: on location. bet this one last time first off the shelf for kid mandella. this one did the old speed and fade and should move forward today. the jones firster, fresh squeezed is also intriguing as he's been lethal teaming up with david cohen.
r2: absolute glory. slow start cost him all chance last time and while i've never heard of the new trainer, blinks and lasix makes this one very interesting.
r6: melanyhasthepapers. diamond fury has a lot to do to make up for the $2.7M purchase price and he's the one who scares me most in here. 'papers is a closer, so the rail won't be too big of a hinderance for him and he should get a decent set up in here with some cheap speed types signed up.
r7: all the boys. most likely winner for me today as this one has a ton of back class and should show his best off the shelf for aguirre. if he's in one piece, he'll destroy this field.
r8: sharp lisa. while i rated the alcibiades stakes at keeneland extremely LOW with about half the field within 2 lengths at the wire, 'list acquited herself quite nicely in the BC in October and she's proven around two turns. don't know where the money will come in on this race, but at 3/1 or better, she's my play.
r9: asesina. hoffmans not known to have them ready to roll first time out, but this field is rather sad, and this filly is actually bred quite well to be debuting for 32k.
good luck, closing day tomorrow- see you at santa anita.
